Tuesday 15th May, 2018 –Antiguan Climatologist Dale Destin says an updated forecast for the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season is now predicting a less active season than previously indicated and a less active season than 2017. The prediction is for an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 118, 13 named storms, 6 becoming hurricanes and 3 becoming major hurricanes.
The new numbers Destin noted represent a slight decrease below those of the previous forecast. Previously, the forecast called for an ACE of 135, 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most, if not the most destructive for the Caribbean. Several islands experienced, at least, catastrophic damage including Barbuda.
Ten of last year’s 17 named storms reached hurricane strength—meaning they had sustained winds of at least 119 km/h or 74 miles per hour, and six of the 10 hurricanes were major ones. It was the seventh worst year on record, based on the ACE index of 223.
If this forecast pans out, Destin stated that 2018 would be the least active since 2015. Notwithstanding, a season with activity second only to 2017, since 2005, cannot be ruled out.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins in less than three weeks—June 1 and concludes on November 30.